Warner Marzocchi
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (Italy)
Dr
Expertise: Earthquake forecasting, seismic hazard
About Me
Publications
No bio available.
SCEC Participation
SCEC Advisory Council, Member (2014 - 2019)Savran, W. H., Iturrieta, P. C., Bayona, J. A., Asim, K. M., Schorlemmer, D., Herrmann, M., Rhoades, D. A., Jackson, D. D., Gerstenberger, M. C., Marzocchi, W., Graham, K., Maechling, P. J., & Werner, M. J. (2023). Seismological Research Letters. Modernizing CSEP Earthquake Forecasting Experiments: The Floating Testing Center, (in preparation). SCEC Contribution 12726
Schorlemmer, D., Christophersen, A., Rovida, A., Mele, P., Stucchi, M., & Marzocchi, W. (2010). Setting up an Earthquake Forecast Experiment in Italy. Annals of Geophysics, (accepted). doi: 10.4401/ag-4844. SCEC Contribution 1440
Schorlemmer, D., Mele, F., & Marzocchi, W. (2010). A Completeness Analysis of the National Seismic Network of Italy. Journal of Geophysical Research, (submitted). doi: 10.1029/2008JB006097. SCEC Contribution 1219
Iturrieta, P. C., Bayona, J. A., Werner, M. J., Schorlemmer, D., Taroni, M., Falcone, G., Cotton, F., Asim, K. M., Savran, W. H., & Marzocchi, W. (2024). Evaluation of a decade-long prospective earthquake forecasting experiment in Italy. Seismological Research Letters,. doi: 10.1785/0220230247. SCEC Contribution 12738
Jordan, T. H., Anderson, J. G., Biasi, G., Campbell, K., Dawson, T., DeShon, H., Gerstenberger, M., Gregor, N., Kelson, K., Lee, Y., Luco, N., Marzocchi, W., Rowshandel, B., Schwartz, D., Shome, N., Toro, G., Weldon, R., Wong, I., & Abrahamson, N. (2023). Panel Review of the USGS 2023 Conterminous U.S. Time-Independent Earthquake Rupture Forecast. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 114(1), 572-607. doi: 10.1785/0120230140. SCEC Contribution 13329
Bayona, J. A., Herrmann, M., Savran, W. H., Silva, F., Maechling, P. J., Marzocchi, W., & Werner, M. J. (2023, 09). A Decade of Prospective Evaluations of One-Day Seismicity Forecasts for California: First Results. Poster Presentation at 2023 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 13163
Mizrahi, L., Dallo, I., Kuratle, L. D., Christophersen, A., van der Elst, N. J., Werner, M. J., Spassiani, I., Falcone, G., Herrmann, M., Schneider, M., Page, M. T., Iturrieta, P. C., Gerstenberger, M. C., Bayona, J. A., Marzocchi, W., iervolino, i., & Wiemer, S. (2023, 09). Developing, testing and communicating earthquake forecasts: an expert elicitation for good practice recommendations. Poster Presentation at 2023 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 13156
Herrmann, M., & Marzocchi, W. (2023). Maximizing the forecasting skill of an ensemble model. Geophysical Journal International, 234(1), 73-87. doi: 10.1093/gji/ggad020. SCEC Contribution 12750
Bayona, J. A., Savran, W. H., Iturrieta, P. C., Gerstenberger, M. C., Graham, K., Marzocchi, W., Schorlemmer, D., & Werner, M. J. (2023). Are Regionally Calibrated Seismicity Models More Informative than Global Models? Insights from California, New Zealand, and Italy. The Seismic Record, 3(2), 86-95. doi: 10.1785/0320230006. SCEC Contribution 12706
Asim, K. M., Hainzl, S., Schorlemmer, D., Iturrieta, P. C., Bayona, J. A., Savran, W. H., Werner, M. J., & Marzocchi, W. (2023). Statistical power of spatial earthquake forecast tests. Geophysical Journal International,. doi: doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggad030. SCEC Contribution 12691
Bayona, J. A., Savran, W. H., Iturrieta, P. C., Gerstenberger, M. C., Marzocchi, W., Schorlemmer, D., & Werner, M. J. (2022, 09). Are Regionally Calibrated Seismicity Models more Informative than Global Models? Insights from California, New Zealand, and Italy. Poster Presentation at 2022 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 12344
Herrmann, M., Piegari, E., & Marzocchi, W. (2021, 08). b-value of what? Complex behavior of the magnitude distribution during and within the 2016/17 Central Italy sequence. Poster Presentation at 2021 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 11624
Herrmann, M., & Marzocchi, W. (2020, 08). Inconsistencies and lurking pitfalls in the magnitude-frequency distribution of high-resolution earthquake catalogs. Poster Presentation at 2020 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 10756
Savran, W. H., Werner, M. J., Marzocchi, W., Rhoades, D. A., Jackson, D. D., Milner, K., Field, E., & Michael, A. (2020). Pseudoprospective Evaluation of UCERF3-ETAS Forecasts during the 2019 Ridgecrest Sequence. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 110(4), 1799-1817. doi: 10.1785/0120200026. SCEC Contribution 10082
Werner, M. J., Savran, W. H., Maechling, P. J., Jordan, T. H., Schorlemmer, D., Rhoades, D. A., Marzocchi, W., & Yu, J. (2019, 08). An Update on the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP). Poster Presentation at 2019 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 9842
Savran, W. H., Maechling, P. J., Werner, M. J., Jordan, T. H., Schorlemmer, D., Rhoades, D. A., Marzocchi, W., Yu, J., & Vidale, J. E. (2018, 08). The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability version 2.0 (CSEP2.0): New Capabilities in Earthquake Forecasting and Testing . Poster Presentation at 2018 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 8805
Marzocchi, W., & Jordan, T. H. (2018). Experimental concepts for testing probabilistic earthquake forecasting and seismic hazard models. Geophysical Journal International, 215(2), 780-798. doi: 10.1093/gji/ggy276. SCEC Contribution 8131
Cattania, C., Werner, M. J., Marzocchi, W., Hainzl, S., Rhoades, D., Gerstenberger, M., Liukis, M., Savran, W., Christophersen, A., Helmstetter, A., Jimenez, A., Steacy, S., & Jordan, T. H. (2018). The Forecasting Skill of Physics‐Based Seismicity Models during the 2010–2012 Canterbury, New Zealand, Earthquake Sequence. Seismological Research Letters, 89(4), 1238-1250. doi: 10.1785/0220180033. SCEC Contribution 8045
Schorlemmer, D., Werner, M. J., Marzocchi, W., Jordan, T. H., Ogata, Y., Jackson, D. D., Mak, S., Rhoades, D. A., Gerstenberger, M. C., Hirata, N., Liukis, M., Maechling, P. J., Strader, A., Taroni, M., Wiemer, S., Zechar, J. D., & Zhuang, J. (2018). The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability: Achievements and Priorities. Seismological Research Letters, 89(4), 1305-1313. doi: 10.1785/0220180053. SCEC Contribution 8036
Taroni, M., Marzocchi, W., Schorlemmer, D., Werner, M. J., Wiemer, S., Zechar, J. D., Heiniger, L., & Euchner, F. (2018). Prospective CSEP Evaluation of 1‐Day, 3‐Month, and 5‐Yr Earthquake Forecasts for Italy. Seismological Research Letters, 89(4), 1251-1261. doi: 10.1785/0220180031. SCEC Contribution 8022
Rhoades, D. A., Christophersen, A., Gerstenberger, M. C., Liukis, M., Silva, F., Marzocchi, W., Werner, M. J., & Jordan, T. H. (2018). Highlights from the First Ten Years of the New Zealand Earthquake Forecast Testing Center. Seismological Research Letters, 89(4), 1229-1237. doi: 10.1785/0220180032. SCEC Contribution 8012
Marzocchi, W. (2017, 07). Progresses and challenges for Operational Earthquake Forecasting in Italy. Oral Presentation at 2017 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 7350
Marzocchi, W., & Jordan, T. H. (2017). A Unified Probabilistic Framework for Seismic Hazard Analysis. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 107(6), 2738-2744. doi: 10.1785/0120170008. SCEC Contribution 7269
Liukis, M., Werner, M. J., Schorlemmer, D., Yu, J., Maechling, P. J., Jackson, D. D., Rhoades, D. A., Zechar, Z. D., Marzocchi, W., Jordan, T. H., & Working Group, t. (2016, 08). Recent Achievements of the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability. Poster Presentation at 2016 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 6908
Werner, M. J., Liukis, M., Marzocchi, W., Rhoades, D. A., Taroni, M., Zechar, Z. D., & Jordan, T. H. (2016, 08). CSEP Evaluations of 24-Hour Earthquake Forecasting Models for California: New Results and Ensemble Models. Poster Presentation at 2016 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 6873
Marzocchi, W., & Jordan, T. H. (2014). Testing for Ontological Errors in Probabilistic Forecasting Models of Natural Systems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(33), 11973-11978. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1410183111. SCEC Contribution 1953
Marzocchi, W., Zechar, J. D., & Jordan, T. H. (2012). Bayesian Forecast Evaluation and Ensemble Earthquake Forecasting. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 102(6), 2574–2584. doi: 10.1785/0120110327. SCEC Contribution 1688
Jordan, T. H., Chen, Y., Gasparini, P., Madariaga, R., Main, I., Marzocchi, W., Papadopoulos, G., Sobolev, G., Yamaoka, K., & Zschau, J. (2011). OPERATIONAL EARTHQUAKE FORECASTING. State of Knowledge and Guidelines for Utilization. Annals of Geophysics, 54(4). doi: 10.4401/ag-5350. SCEC Contribution 10908
Werner, M. J., Zechar, J. D., Marzocchi, W., & Wiemer, S. (2010). Retrospective Evaluation of the Five-Year and Ten-Year CSEP-Italy Earthquake Forecasts. Annals of Geophysics, 53(3). SCEC Contribution 1436
Last updated Oct 28, 2024.
