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Publications
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Schorlemmer, D., Christophersen, A., Rovida, A., Mele, P., Stucchi, M., & Marzocchi, W. (2010). Setting up an Earthquake Forecast Experiment in Italy. Annals of Geophysics, (accepted). doi: 10.4401/ag-4844. SCEC Contribution 1440
Gerstenberger, M. C., Van Dissen, R. J., Rollins, C., DiCaprio, C., Thingbaijim, K. S., Bora, S. S., Chamberlain, C., Christophersen, A., Coffey, G. L., Ellis, S., Iturrieta, P. C., Johnson, K. M., Litchfield, N. J., Nicol, A., Milner, K. R., Rastin, S. J., Rhoades, D. A., Seebeck, H., Shaw, B. E., Stirling, M., Wallace, L. M., Allen, T. I., Bradley, B. A., Charlton, D., Clark, K., Fraser, J., Griffin, J., Hamling, I., Howell, A., Hudson-Doyle, E., Hulsey, A., Jurgens, V., Kaiser, A. E., Kirkman, R., Langridge, R. M., Maurer, J. L., Rattenbury, M. S., Ristau, J., Schorlemmer, D., Townend, J., Villamor, P., & Williams, C. A. (2024). The Seismicity Rate Model for the 2022 Aotearoa New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 114(1), 182-216. doi: 10.1785/0120230165. SCEC Contribution 13421
Gerstenberger, M. C., Bora, S. S., Bradley, B. A., DiCaprio, C., Kaiser, A. E., Manea, E. F., Nicol, A., Rollins, C., Stirling, M., Thingbaijam, K. S., Van Dissen, R. J., Abbott, E. R., Atkinson, G. M., Chamberlain, C., Christophersen, A., Clark, K., Coffey, G. L., de la Torre, C. A., Ellis, S., Fraser, J., Graham, K., Griffin, J., Hamling, I., Hill, M. P., Howell, A., Hulsey, A., Hutchinson, J., Iturrieta, P. C., Johnson, K. M., Jurgens, V., Kirkman, R., Langridge, R. M., Lee, R. L., Litchfield, N. J., Maurer, J. L., Milner, K. R., Rastin, S., Rattenbury, M. S., Rhoades, D. A., Ristau, J., Schorlemmer, D., Seebeck, H., Shaw, B. E., Stafford, P. J., Stolte, A. C., Townend, J., Villamor, P., Wallace, L. M., Weatherill, G., Williams, C. A., & Wotherspoon, L. M. (2023). The 2022 Aotearoa New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model: Process, Overview, and Results. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 114(1), 7-36. doi: 10.1785/0120230182. SCEC Contribution 13422
Mizrahi, L., Dallo, I., Kuratle, L. D., Christophersen, A., van der Elst, N. J., Werner, M. J., Spassiani, I., Falcone, G., Herrmann, M., Schneider, M., Page, M. T., Iturrieta, P. C., Gerstenberger, M. C., Bayona, J. A., Marzocchi, W., iervolino, i., & Wiemer, S. (2023, 09). Developing, testing and communicating earthquake forecasts: an expert elicitation for good practice recommendations. Poster Presentation at 2023 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 13156
Graham, K., Christophersen, A., Gerstenberger, M. C., & Rhoades, D. A. (2022, 09). Current State of New Zealand’s Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF). Poster Presentation at 2022 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 12440
J Rastin, S., Rhoades, D. A., Gerstenberger, M. C., Rollins, C., & Christophersen, A. (2021, 08). Towards a distributed seismicity model for the New Zealand national seismic hazard update. Poster Presentation at 2021 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 11266
J Rastin, S., Rhoades, D. A., & Christophersen, A. (2020, 08). The Effect of Catalog Lead Time on Earthquake Forecasting Using the EEPAS Model. Poster Presentation at 2020 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 10325
Rhoades, D. A., & Christophersen, A. (2018, 08). Improved medium-term earthquake forecasting: Compensating for incomplete contributions of precursory earthquakes. Poster Presentation at 2018 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 8405
Cattania, C., Werner, M. J., Marzocchi, W., Hainzl, S., Rhoades, D., Gerstenberger, M., Liukis, M., Savran, W., Christophersen, A., Helmstetter, A., Jimenez, A., Steacy, S., & Jordan, T. H. (2018). The Forecasting Skill of Physics‐Based Seismicity Models during the 2010–2012 Canterbury, New Zealand, Earthquake Sequence. Seismological Research Letters, 89(4), 1238-1250. doi: 10.1785/0220180033. SCEC Contribution 8045
Rhoades, D. A., Christophersen, A., Gerstenberger, M. C., Liukis, M., Silva, F., Marzocchi, W., Werner, M. J., & Jordan, T. H. (2018). Highlights from the First Ten Years of the New Zealand Earthquake Forecast Testing Center. Seismological Research Letters, 89(4), 1229-1237. doi: 10.1785/0220180032. SCEC Contribution 8012
Rhoades, D. A., Gerstenberger, M. C., Christophersen, A., & Harte, D. S. (2017, 08). Earthquake forecasts and their applications following the M7.8 2016 Kaikoura earthquake. Poster Presentation at 2017 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 7689
Gerstenberger, M. C., Rhoades, D. A., Christophersen, A., Fry, B., Wallace, L. M., McVerry, G., & Horspool, N. (2017, 07). Earthquake Forecasting in recent large events in New Zealand and the role of CSEP. Oral Presentation at 2017 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 7364
Christophersen, A., Rhoades, D. A., Harte, D. S., & Gerstenberger, M. C. (2016, 08). Testing the effect of deficient real-time earthquake catalogs on non-Poissonian earthquake likelihood models: Examples from the Canterbury earthquake sequence. Poster Presentation at 2016 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 6789
Rhoades, D. A., Christophersen, A., & Gerstenberger, M. C. (2016, 08). Earthquake likelihood models for New Zealand combining information on strain rates, earthquakes and faults. Poster Presentation at 2016 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 6542
Gerstenberger, M. C., Rhoades, D. A., McVerry, G. H., Harte, D. S., & Christophersen, A. (2016, 09). Blurring the boundary between earthquake forecasting and seismic hazard. Oral Presentation at 2016 SCEC Annual Meeting. SCEC Contribution 6420
Harte, D. S., Rhoades, D. A., Christophersen, A., & Hainzl, S. (2016). Statistical estimation of the duration of aftershock sequences. Geophysical Journal International, 205(2), 1180-1189. doi: 10.1093/gji/ggw075. SCEC Contribution 6268
Rhoades, D. A., Liukis, M., Christophersen, A., & Gerstenberger, M. C. (2016). Retrospective tests of hybrid earthquake forecasting models for Canterbury. Geophysical Journal International, 204(1), 440-456. SCEC Contribution 6001
Steacy, S., Gerstenberger, M. C., Williams, C. A., Rhoades, D. A., & Christophersen, A. (2014). A new hybrid Coulomb/statistical model for forecasting aftershock rates. Geophysical Journal International, 196(2), 918-923. doi: 10.1093/gji/ggt404. SCEC Contribution 6059
Rhoades, D. A., Gerstenberger, M. C., Christophersen, A., Zechar, J. D., Schorlemmer, D., Werner, M. J., & Jordan, T. H. (2014). Regional earthquake likelihood models II: Information gains of multiplicative hybrids. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 104(6), 2203-2215. doi: 10.1785/0120140035. SCEC Contribution 1837
Rhoades, D. A., Gerstenberger, M. C., Christophersen, A., & Liukis, M. (2013, 8). Utilising short-term and medium-term forecasting models for earthquake hazard estimation in the wake of the Canterbury earthquakes. Presentation at GNS Science Consultancy Report 2013. SCEC Contribution 2046
Rhoades, D. A., Gerstenberger, M. C., Christophersen, A., Zechar, J. D., Schorlemmer, D., Werner, M. J., & Jordan, T. H. (2013, 9). Multiplicative Hybrids of Models from the Five-Year RELM Experiment. Poster Presentation at SCEC Annual Meeting 2013. doi: 10.1785/0120140035. SCEC Contribution 1895
Gerstenberger, M. C., Rhoades, D. A., Liukis, M., & Christophersen, A. (2013, 9). Long-Term Testing of an Operational Earthquake Forecast Model for Canterbury. Poster Presentation at SCEC Annual Meeting 2013. doi: 10.1093/gji/ggv447. SCEC Contribution 1894
Rhoades, D. A., Schorlemmer, D., Gerstenberger, M. C., Christophersen, A., & Zechar, J. D. (2010). Efficient testing of earthquake forecasting models. Acta Geophysica, 59(4), 728-747. doi: 10.2478/s11600-011-0013-5. SCEC Contribution 1456
Last updated Sep 19, 2024.
