Group A, Poster #167, Fault and Rupture Mechanics (FARM)
Dynamic models of branching faults and surface rupture in the Signal Hill Stepover on the Newport-Inglewood Fault, Southern California
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Poster Presentation
2025 SCEC Annual Meeting, Poster #167, SCEC Contribution #14780 VIEW PDF
ory across multiple splays of this fault system [Toghramadjian and Shaw, 2024].
To understand the past behavior and future earthquake potential of this region, we use the 3D discontinuous Galerkin method [Zhang et al., 2023] to model the dynamics of potential earthquakes on the NIF system in the Signal Hill region. Our main goal is to determine which factors determine the complex rupture paths implied by observational data. We are also exploring what factors may cause ruptures to terminate at the restraining bend system, as is thought to have occurred in the 1933 earthquake [Hough and Graves, 2020]. We find a strong directional dependence in the ability of earthquakes to propagate to the splay and reverse faults: earthquakes propagating from southeast to northwest can activate the splay faults, resulting in vertical uplift of the local hills, in agreement with observations. In contrast, earthquakes that propagate from northwest to southeast approach the branches in the reverse direction, for which propagation to the splays is dynamically-inhibited backwards branching [e.g., Kame et al., 2003]. In such cases, there is essentially no uplift of the hills in the region. A lack of geometrically continuous, through-going fault segments to the northwest of the Signal Hill region may help to explain a lack of rupture propagation from that direction, and consequently a bias of ruptures arriving from the southeast, leading to the formation of the hills in the region. The results have implications for the surface rupture and ground motion hazard in this densely populated region, as well as for complex strike-slip/reverse-faulting systems worldwide.
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To understand the past behavior and future earthquake potential of this region, we use the 3D discontinuous Galerkin method [Zhang et al., 2023] to model the dynamics of potential earthquakes on the NIF system in the Signal Hill region. Our main goal is to determine which factors determine the complex rupture paths implied by observational data. We are also exploring what factors may cause ruptures to terminate at the restraining bend system, as is thought to have occurred in the 1933 earthquake [Hough and Graves, 2020]. We find a strong directional dependence in the ability of earthquakes to propagate to the splay and reverse faults: earthquakes propagating from southeast to northwest can activate the splay faults, resulting in vertical uplift of the local hills, in agreement with observations. In contrast, earthquakes that propagate from northwest to southeast approach the branches in the reverse direction, for which propagation to the splays is dynamically-inhibited backwards branching [e.g., Kame et al., 2003]. In such cases, there is essentially no uplift of the hills in the region. A lack of geometrically continuous, through-going fault segments to the northwest of the Signal Hill region may help to explain a lack of rupture propagation from that direction, and consequently a bias of ruptures arriving from the southeast, leading to the formation of the hills in the region. The results have implications for the surface rupture and ground motion hazard in this densely populated region, as well as for complex strike-slip/reverse-faulting systems worldwide.
SHOW MORE