Fast Dynamic Rupture and Earthquake Cycle Simulations with a Fourier Neural Operator–Based Framework

Napat Tainpakdipat, Mohamed Abdelmeguid, Chunhui Zhao, & Ahmed E. Elbanna

Submitted September 7, 2025, SCEC Contribution #14911, 2025 SCEC Annual Meeting Poster #TBD

Earthquake modeling captures the multiscale nature of fault processes, spanning spatial and temporal scales from slow aseismic slip to rapid dynamic rupture. Classical physics-based modeling, while accurate, is computationally expensive. To address this challenge, we present a computationally efficient and quantitatively accurate surrogate modeling approach. Specifically, we develop a Fourier Neural Operator–based framework to approximate the nonlinear equations governing dynamic rupture and earthquake cycle simulations. The surrogate model is trained on synthetic data generated from multiple physics-based simulations and is then applied to previously unseen scenarios. In dynamic rupture modeling, our approach preserves the accuracy of traditional multiscale methods while achieving a speedup of up to 400,000 compared to state-of-the-art conventional solvers. We demonstrate its generalization capability under unseen conditions. Additionally, we apply the FNO-based framework to model aseismic slip within earthquake cycles. Using autoregressive prediction techniques, we obtain a computational speedup of up to 30,000. This development advances the state of the art in computational earthquake dynamics, enabling large-scale statistical analyses, systematic parameter exploration, and probabilistic hazard assessments that were previously infeasible.

Key Words
Dynamic rupture, Rate-and-state friction, Fourier Neural Opertor, Machine Learning, Deep Learning

Citation
Tainpakdipat, N., Abdelmeguid, M., Zhao, C., & Elbanna, A. E. (2025, 09). Fast Dynamic Rupture and Earthquake Cycle Simulations with a Fourier Neural Operator–Based Framework. Poster Presentation at 2025 SCEC Annual Meeting.


Related Projects & Working Groups
Fault and Rupture Mechanics (FARM)