Methods for Evaluating Earthquake Potential and Likelihood in and around California

Steven N. Ward

Published 2007, SCEC Contribution #939

From the outset, the vision of the Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM) project recognized that the best way to come to grips with the full impact and uncertainty in earthquake hazard estimates is to compare a wide range of independent, well-documented, and physically defensible hazard models that produce identically formatted output. Ideally, these models should be rooted in the complete spectrum of geophysical input. Toward this end, I offer testable earthquake potential maps based on geodesy, geology, historical seismicity, and computer simulations of earthquakes.

Citation
Ward, S. N. (2007). Methods for Evaluating Earthquake Potential and Likelihood in and around California. Seismological Research Letters, 78(1), 121-133. doi: 10.1785/gssrl.78.1.121.