Magnitude and Slip Scaling Relations for Fault-Based Seismic Hazard

Bruce E. Shaw

Published September 11, 2022, SCEC Contribution #11936, 2022 SCEC Annual Meeting Poster #196

Scaling relations play an important role in fault-based seismic haard, where slip rates on faults are balanced by cumulative slip in an earthquake rupture forecast. Here we discuss a series of issues which arise in constructing sets of logic tree branches for use in fault-based hazard estimates. These issues include:
1) depth of rupture; 2) transient deepening following large earthquakes; 3) uncertainty in mean; 4) difficulties in using classical continuum exponent fits; 5) multifault compatability; 6) and minimal models.
Recommendations for minimal branch models are discussed.

Key Words
earthquake scaling seismic hazard

Citation
Shaw, B. E. (2022, 09). Magnitude and Slip Scaling Relations for Fault-Based Seismic Hazard. Poster Presentation at 2022 SCEC Annual Meeting.

Related Projects & Working Groups
Earthquake Forecasting and Predictability (EFP)